Clifford May: Democratic Awakening in Arab States Is Not Guaranteed

Summary


Readers of tealeaves, tarot cards and goat entrails may be able to predict the future. But prognostication is a skill few journalists, politicians, diplomats, and intelligence officials have demonstrated consistently over time. So while it's clear that the Muslim world is in the throes of a major transformation, let's not pretend we know how this story ends.

It's possible we're seeing an Arab spring, a democratic awakening - uprisings that will bring freedom to societies that have known only oppression. But it's equally possible that one form of oppression will simply replace another. Will we see in the Middle East a repeat of what happened in Eastern Europe in 1989 or what happened in Iran in 1979?

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Extract


Clifford May: Democratic Awakening in Arab States Is Not Guaranteed

It's comforting to believe there is a "right side to history." But if history demonstrates anything it is that history has no preferences. History includes wars and interludes of peace, dark ages an...

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